Projected Income Statement: China Overseas Land & Investment Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: China Overseas Land & Investment Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 121,272 137,082 182,935 164,639 125,868 100,587 97,072 74,195
Change - 13.04% 33.45% -10% -23.55% -20.09% -3.49% -23.57%
Announcement Date 3/29/21 3/31/22 3/31/23 3/28/24 3/31/25 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China Overseas Land & Investment Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 14,582 267.7 701.4 221.2 210.6 352.1 486.5 473.3
Change - -98.16% 161.95% -68.45% -4.83% 67.23% 38.16% -2.71%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 11,246 26,450 -12,065 37,891 49,180 33,364 26,608 25,621
Change - 135.19% -145.61% 414.06% 29.79% -32.16% -20.25% -3.71%
Announcement Date 3/29/21 3/31/22 3/31/23 3/28/24 3/31/25 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China Overseas Land & Investment Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.63% 24.07% 19.56% 20.17% 14.54% 13.19% 13.9% 15.08%
EBIT Margin (%) 35.11% 24.9% 19.34% 20.01% 14.42% 13.09% 13.95% 15.27%
EBT Margin (%) 37.25% 26.06% 19.97% 20.3% 14.26% 13.56% 15.72% 15.95%
Net margin (%) 23.63% 16.58% 12.9% 12.65% 8.44% 8.59% 9.84% 10.07%
FCF margin (%) 5.1% 8.86% -5.86% 17.28% 24.77% 16.72% 13.1% 12.7%
FCF / Net Income (%) 21.57% 53.42% -45.39% 136.68% 293.36% 194.71% 133.23% 126.08%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.67% 4.74% 2.74% 2.79% 1.71% 1.72% 1.83% 1.97%
ROE 14.76% 12.2% 7% 7.04% 4.15% 4.02% 4.64% 4.35%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.54x 1.91x 4.54x 3.72x 4.36x 3.82x 3.44x 2.44x
Debt / Free cash flow 10.78x 5.18x -15.16x 4.35x 2.56x 3.01x 3.65x 2.9x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.61% 0.09% 0.34% 0.1% 0.11% 0.18% 0.24% 0.23%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 18.55% 0.37% 1.74% 0.5% 0.73% 1.34% 1.72% 1.56%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 129.66% 1.01% -5.81% 0.58% 0.43% 1.06% 1.83% 1.85%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.055 2.441 -1.038 3.482 4.513 3.688 2.716 0.612
Change - 131.35% -142.53% 435.4% 29.59% -18.27% -26.35% -77.47%
Dividend per Share 1 1.18 1.21 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.5514 0.5985 0.6522
Change - 2.54% -33.88% 0% -25% -8.1% 8.54% 8.98%
Book Value Per Share 1 33.93 38.78 37.01 36.91 37.28 38.34 39.29 40.83
Change - 14.29% -4.55% -0.28% 1.02% 2.83% 2.48% 3.91%
EPS 1 4.738 4.525 2.433 2.533 1.533 1.559 1.806 1.843
Change - -4.5% -46.23% 4.1% -39.47% 1.66% 15.87% 2.05%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 10,953,185 10,944,815 10,944,884 10,944,884 10,944,884 10,944,884 10,944,884 10,944,884
Announcement Date 3/29/21 3/31/22 3/31/23 3/28/24 3/31/25 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 8.6x 7.42x
PBR 0.35x 0.34x
EV / Sales 1.24x 1.2x
Yield 4.11% 4.47%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
13.40HKD
Average target price
16.51HKD
Spread / Average Target
+23.22%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 688 Stock
  4. Financials China Overseas Land & Investment Limited