Projected Income Statement: China Overseas Land & Investment Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: China Overseas Land & Investment Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 121,272 137,082 182,935 164,639 125,868 116,397 175,015 192,152
Change - 13.04% 33.45% -10% -23.55% -7.52% 50.36% 9.79%
Announcement Date 3/29/21 3/31/22 3/31/23 3/28/24 3/31/25 3/31/26 - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China Overseas Land & Investment Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 14,582 267.7 701.4 221.2 210.6 464.7 383.4 388.8
Change - -98.16% 161.95% -68.45% -4.83% 120.68% -17.49% 1.42%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 11,246 26,450 -12,065 37,891 49,180 37,233 51,894 27,656
Change - 135.19% -145.61% 414.06% 29.79% -24.29% 39.38% -46.71%
Announcement Date 3/29/21 3/31/22 3/31/23 3/28/24 3/31/25 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China Overseas Land & Investment Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.63% 24.07% 19.56% 20.17% 14.54% 12.46% 11.87% 12.85%
EBIT Margin (%) 35.11% 24.9% 19.34% 20.01% 14.42% 12.38% 11.84% 12.46%
EBT Margin (%) 37.25% 26.06% 19.97% 20.3% 14.26% 12.26% 12.42% 12.99%
Net margin (%) 23.63% 16.58% 12.9% 12.65% 8.44% 7.55% 7.75% 8.15%
FCF margin (%) 5.1% 8.86% -5.86% 17.28% 24.77% 18.61% 28.12% 15.1%
FCF / Net Income (%) 21.57% 53.42% -45.39% 136.68% 293.36% 228.18% 362.99% 185.27%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.67% 4.74% 2.74% 2.79% 1.71% 1.59% 1.39% 1.48%
ROE 14.76% 12.2% 7% 7.04% 4.15% 3.65% 3.14% 3.19%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.54x 1.91x 4.54x 3.72x 4.36x 4.67x 7.99x 8.16x
Debt / Free cash flow 10.78x 5.18x -15.16x 4.35x 2.56x 3.13x 3.37x 6.95x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.61% 0.09% 0.34% 0.1% 0.11% 0.23% 0.21% 0.21%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 18.55% 0.37% 1.74% 0.5% 0.73% 1.86% 1.75% 1.65%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 129.66% 1.01% -5.81% 0.58% 0.43% 1.25% 0.74% 1.41%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.055 2.441 -1.038 3.482 4.513 -0.1495 2.391 1.914
Change - 131.35% -142.53% 435.4% 29.59% -103.31% 1,699.33% -19.94%
Dividend per Share 1 1.18 1.21 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.5248 0.4918 0.5189
Change - 2.54% -33.88% 0% -25% -12.53% -6.3% 5.53%
Book Value Per Share 1 33.93 38.78 37.01 36.91 37.28 39.54 41.14 41.9
Change - 14.29% -4.55% -0.28% 1.02% 6.04% 4.06% 1.84%
EPS 1 4.738 4.525 2.433 2.533 1.533 1.315 1.298 1.359
Change - -4.5% -46.23% 4.1% -39.47% -14.23% -13.67% 4.66%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 10,953,185 10,944,815 10,944,884 10,944,884 10,944,884 10,944,884 10,944,884 10,944,884
Announcement Date 3/29/21 3/31/22 3/31/23 3/28/24 3/31/25 3/31/26 - -
1HKD
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 9.32x 9.25x
PBR 0.3x 0.29x
EV / Sales 0.7x 1.66x
Yield 4.37% 4.09%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
12.01HKD
Average target price
15.41HKD
Spread / Average Target
+28.29%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 688 Stock
  4. Financials China Overseas Land & Investment Limited