Projected Income Statement: China Overseas Land & Investment Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: China Overseas Land & Investment Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 121,272 137,082 182,935 164,639 125,868 111,124 130,876 110,906
Change - 13.04% 33.45% -10% -23.55% -11.71% 17.77% -15.26%
Announcement Date 3/29/21 3/31/22 3/31/23 3/28/24 3/31/25 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China Overseas Land & Investment Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 14,582 267.7 701.4 221.2 210.6 459.9 496.7 483.2
Change - -98.16% 161.95% -68.45% -4.83% 118.42% 8% -2.72%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 11,246 26,450 -12,065 37,891 49,180 31,386 23,863 9,107
Change - 135.19% -145.61% 414.06% 29.79% -36.18% -23.97% -61.83%
Announcement Date 3/29/21 3/31/22 3/31/23 3/28/24 3/31/25 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China Overseas Land & Investment Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.63% 24.07% 19.56% 20.17% 14.54% 12.12% 13.31% 14.07%
EBIT Margin (%) 35.11% 24.9% 19.34% 20.01% 14.42% 12.16% 13.19% 13.83%
EBT Margin (%) 37.25% 26.06% 19.97% 20.3% 14.26% 12.95% 15.37% 14.87%
Net margin (%) 23.63% 16.58% 12.9% 12.65% 8.44% 8.04% 9.21% 9.13%
FCF margin (%) 5.1% 8.86% -5.86% 17.28% 24.77% 14.78% 11.17% 4.24%
FCF / Net Income (%) 21.57% 53.42% -45.39% 136.68% 293.36% 183.89% 121.32% 46.45%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.67% 4.74% 2.74% 2.79% 1.71% 1.69% 1.77% 1.91%
ROE 14.76% 12.2% 7% 7.04% 4.15% 3.9% 4.55% 4.19%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.54x 1.91x 4.54x 3.72x 4.36x 3.14x 1.68x 0.42x
Debt / Free cash flow 10.78x 5.18x -15.16x 4.35x 2.56x 2.57x 2.01x 1.38x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.61% 0.09% 0.34% 0.1% 0.11% 0.23% 0.25% 0.24%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 18.55% 0.37% 1.74% 0.5% 0.73% 1.7% 1.84% 1.68%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 129.66% 1.01% -5.81% 0.58% 0.43% 1.47% 2.08% 5.31%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.055 2.441 -1.038 3.482 4.513 0.8835 2.499 0.6155
Change - 131.35% -142.53% 435.4% 29.59% -80.42% 182.89% -75.37%
Dividend per Share 1 1.18 1.21 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.513 0.525 0.569
Change - 2.54% -33.88% 0% -25% -14.5% 2.34% 8.38%
Book Value Per Share 1 33.93 38.78 37.01 36.91 37.28 39.6 40.13 41.43
Change - 14.29% -4.55% -0.28% 1.02% 6.21% 1.33% 3.23%
EPS 1 4.738 4.525 2.433 2.533 1.533 1.552 1.78 1.78
Change - -4.5% -46.23% 4.1% -39.47% 1.22% 14.68% 0.03%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 10,953,185 10,944,815 10,944,884 10,944,884 10,944,884 10,944,884 10,944,884 10,944,884
Announcement Date 3/29/21 3/31/22 3/31/23 3/28/24 3/31/25 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 8.43x 8.25x
PBR 0.32x 0.32x
EV / Sales 1.26x 0.93x
Yield 4.03% 4.12%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
12.73HKD
Average target price
16.59HKD
Spread / Average Target
+30.32%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 688 Stock
  4. Financials China Overseas Land & Investment Limited