Company Valuation: Canadian Natural Resources Limited

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Capitalization 1 36,129 62,917 83,238 94,051 93,660 125,486 125,486 -
Change - 74.15% 32.3% 12.99% -0.42% 33.98% 0% -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 57,093 76,558 93,272 103,448 112,348 142,302 141,639 140,323
Change - 34.09% 21.83% 10.91% 8.6% 26.66% -0.47% -0.93%
P/E ratio -82.7x 8.27x 7.9x 11.6x 15.6x 9.01x 21.7x 18.5x
PBR 1.12x 1.69x 2.17x 2.34x 2.36x 3.11x 3.13x 3.07x
PEG - -0x 0.2x -0.5x -0.7x 0.1x -1.2x 1.1x
Capitalization / Revenue 2.14x 2.09x 1.97x 2.61x 2.63x 2.5x 3.54x 3.47x
EV / Revenue 3.38x 2.55x 2.21x 2.88x 3.15x 3.72x 4x 3.88x
EV / EBITDA 10.3x 4.86x 4.22x 6.13x 6.85x 8.06x 8.53x 7.83x
EV / EBIT -108x 7.64x 6.32x 9.89x 11.6x 15.9x 16x 13.8x
EV / FCF 24.6x 7.67x 6.36x 9.94x 11.7x 17.8x 20.9x 16.6x
FCF Yield 4.06% 13% 15.7% 10.1% 8.52% 5.63% 4.78% 6.01%
Dividend per Share 2 0.85 1 2.3 1.875 2.132 2.345 2.404 2.473
Rate of return 5.56% 3.74% 6.12% 4.32% 4.81% 3.89% 3.99% 4.1%
EPS 2 -0.185 3.23 4.76 3.735 2.85 5.16 2.776 3.26
Distribution rate -459% 31% 48.3% 50.2% 74.8% 69.3% 86.6% 75.8%
Net sales 1 16,893 30,057 42,298 35,968 35,656 38,762 35,422 36,162
EBITDA 1 5,519 15,750 22,113 16,877 16,408 17,610 16,601 17,917
EBIT 1 -527 10,026 14,760 10,464 9,727 8,226 8,836 10,159
Net income 1 -435 7,664 10,937 8,233 6,106 10,820 5,688 6,415
Net Debt 1 20,964 13,641 10,034 9,397 18,688 16,816 16,152 14,837
Reference price 2 15.30 26.72 37.60 43.40 44.38 60.24 60.24 60.24
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,362,117 2,354,237 2,214,062 2,166,831 2,110,408 2,083,107 2,083,107 -
Announcement Date 3/4/21 3/3/22 3/2/23 2/29/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (N) EV / Sales (N) EV / EBITDA (N) Dividend Yield (N) Capi.($)
17.8x3.72x8.06x3.89% 91.82B
8.72x2.75x4.42x5.12% 173B
24.96x2.83x6.94x2.93% 141B
13.67x3.07x6.03x3.2% 68.57B
39.84x3x6.07x1.91% 52.87B
18.29x4.58x6.64x2.35% 49.85B
27.13x4.3x6.8x3.04% 41.29B
12.92x4.34x6.28x1.08% 38.31B
64.9x - - 0.45% 36.96B
11.86x2.69x3.59x2.73% 28.66B
Average 24.01x 3.48x 6.09x 2.67% 72.25B
Weighted average by Cap. 20.73x 3.26x 6.09x 3.26%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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