Projected Income Statement: Brilliance China Automotive Holdings Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Brilliance China Automotive Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 679 1,516 -28,106 -29,921 -10,870 -6,524 -7,006 -9,022
Change - 123.27% -1,953.96% -6.46% 63.67% 39.98% -7.39% -28.78%
Announcement Date 7/29/22 8/26/22 3/29/23 3/28/24 3/21/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Brilliance China Automotive Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 618.1 219.8 34.29 25.79 142.5 973 223.4 223.7
Change - -64.45% -84.4% -24.78% 452.6% 582.62% -77.04% 0.16%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,818 1,386 1,263 -1,024 -356.7 8 47 180
Change - 149.19% -8.91% -181.13% 65.17% 102.24% 487.5% 282.98%
Announcement Date 7/29/22 8/26/22 3/29/23 3/28/24 3/21/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Brilliance China Automotive Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -57.72% -118.39% -0.89% -5.76% -16.08% -10.43% -5.18% -3.69%
EBIT Margin (%) -71.9% -132.96% -8.54% -13.31% -33.28% -32.72% -30.57% -29.02%
EBT Margin (%) -26.53% 488.32% 774.25% 736.79% 412.42% 299.49% 248.65% 228.09%
Net margin (%) 0.36% 558.4% 632.06% 689.73% 282.96% 285.48% 244.67% 227.35%
FCF margin (%) -90.23% 64.71% 111.66% -91.34% -32.55% 0.68% 3.68% 12.94%
FCF / Net Income (%) -25,117.77% 11.59% 17.67% -13.24% -11.5% 0.24% 1.5% 5.69%

Profitability

        
ROA -10.18% 31.64% 13.56% 13.99% 7.36% 13.04% 13.89% 13.72%
ROE 0.03% 24.43% 15.24% 13.99% 8.04% 13.59% 13.4% 12.55%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -0.38x -0.6x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow -0.24x 1.09x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 19.79% 10.26% 3.03% 2.3% 13.01% 82.55% 17.47% 16.09%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -34.29% -8.67% -339.64% -39.92% -80.86% -791.33% -337.37% -435.55%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -21.93% 15.85% 2.72% -2.52% -39.95% 12,162.38% 475.21% 124.29%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -0.436 0.3183 0.257 -0.1979 -0.0425 -0.052 -0.016 0.00041
Change - 173% -19.26% -177% 78.52% -22.26% 69.26% 102.57%
Dividend per Share 1 0.0945 - - - - 1.461 0.4114 0.2947
Change - - - - - - -71.85% -28.37%
Book Value Per Share 1 6.6 8.39 10.2 10.13 5.165 4.199 4.367 4.644
Change - 27.12% 21.53% -0.64% -49.02% -18.71% 4% 6.33%
EPS 1 0.00222 2.371 1.417 1.533 0.6146 0.6676 0.6202 0.626
Change - 106,685.59% -40.25% 8.23% -59.91% 8.61% -7.1% 0.95%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,045,269 5,045,269 5,045,269 5,045,269 5,045,269 5,045,269 5,045,269 5,045,269
Announcement Date 7/29/22 8/26/22 3/29/23 3/28/24 3/21/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 5.44x 5.86x
PBR 0.87x 0.83x
EV / Sales 10x 8.86x
Yield 40.2% 11.3%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
3.633CNY
Average target price
3.424CNY
Spread / Average Target
-5.74%
Consensus

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

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