Projected Income Statement: Brilliance China Automotive Holdings Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Brilliance China Automotive Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 679 1,516 -28,106 -29,921 -10,870 -4,500 -4,888 -5,589
Change - 123.27% -1,953.96% -6.46% 63.67% 58.6% 0.57% -14.34%
Announcement Date 7/29/22 8/26/22 3/29/23 3/28/24 3/21/25 3/27/26 - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Brilliance China Automotive Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 618.1 219.8 34.29 25.79 142.5 847.8 198.7 249
Change - -64.45% -84.4% -24.78% 452.6% 494.76% -76.57% 25.34%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -2,818 1,386 1,263 -1,024 -356.7 218 768 -119
Change - 149.19% -8.91% -181.13% 65.17% 161.11% 252.29% -115.49%
Announcement Date 7/29/22 8/26/22 3/29/23 3/28/24 3/21/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Brilliance China Automotive Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -57.72% -118.39% -0.89% -5.76% -16.08% -33.07% -25.59% -18.18%
EBIT Margin (%) -71.9% -132.96% -8.54% -13.31% -33.28% -44.19% -35.58% -34.96%
EBT Margin (%) -26.53% 488.32% 774.25% 736.79% 412.42% 195.32% 172.8% 151.12%
Net margin (%) 0.36% 558.4% 632.06% 689.73% 282.96% 168% 174.83% 151.56%
FCF margin (%) -90.23% 64.71% 111.66% -91.34% -32.55% 18.31% 56.73% -8.15%
FCF / Net Income (%) -25,117.77% 11.59% 17.67% -13.24% -11.5% 11.28% 32.45% -5.38%

Profitability

        
ROA -10.18% 31.64% 13.56% 13.99% 7.36% 7.54% 10.9% 9.42%
ROE 0.03% 24.43% 15.24% 13.99% 8.04% 8.43% 11.28% 10.27%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -0.38x -0.6x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow -0.24x 1.09x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 19.79% 10.26% 3.03% 2.3% 13.01% 71.2% 14.67% 17.06%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -34.29% -8.67% -339.64% -39.92% -80.86% -640.02% -57.34% -93.85%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -21.93% 15.85% 2.72% -2.52% -39.95% 388.88% 25.87% -209.24%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -0.436 0.3183 0.257 -0.1979 -0.0425 -0.0586 - -0.0115
Change - 173% -19.26% -177% 78.52% -37.98% - -
Dividend per Share 1 0.0945 - - - - 0.706 0.4069 0.3314
Change - - - - - - -75.43% -18.55%
Book Value Per Share 1 6.6 8.39 10.2 10.13 5.165 4.168 4.313 4.537
Change - 27.12% 21.53% -0.64% -49.02% -19.32% 4.74% 5.19%
EPS 1 0.00222 2.371 1.417 1.533 0.6146 0.3936 0.4688 0.4394
Change - 106,685.59% -40.25% 8.23% -59.91% -35.97% 22.34% -6.27%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,045,269 5,045,269 5,045,269 5,045,269 5,045,269 5,045,269 5,045,269 5,045,269
Announcement Date 7/29/22 8/26/22 3/29/23 3/28/24 3/21/25 3/27/26 - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 9.25x 5.72x
PBR 0.87x 0.62x
EV / Sales 11.7x 6.38x
Yield 19.4% 15.2%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
2.682CNY
Average target price
3.138CNY
Spread / Average Target
+17.01%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

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