HIGHLIGHTS
Fourth Quarter 2023 Results
- Fourth quarter production averaged 365,248 boe(1)(2) per day (63 per cent natural gas and 37 per cent crude oil and liquids), the highest in ARC's 28-year history. Production per share(3) increased six per cent compared to the fourth quarter of 2022.
- ARC recognized both funds from operations and cash flow from operating activities of
$699 million (4) ($1.16 per share)(5) during the fourth quarter. ARC generated free funds flow of$155 million (6) ($0.26 per share)(7) and recognized net income of$506 million ($0.84 per share).- End market diversification resulted in an average realized natural gas price of
$3.33 per Mcf(5); 25 per cent greater than the average AECO 7A Monthly Index price of$2.66 Mcf. - Fourth quarter combined operating and transportation cost of
$8.72 per boe registered as the lowest in two years.
- End market diversification resulted in an average realized natural gas price of
- ARC invested
$545 million into capital expenditures(6), in-line with Company guidance. ARC disposed of certain non-core assets for net proceeds of$44 million during the fourth quarter, with the proceeds re-invested through the repurchase of ARC shares. - ARC repurchased 8.4 million shares during the fourth quarter. In the five months since renewing its normal course issuer bid ("NCIB") on
September 1, 2023 , ARC has repurchased 10.6 million common shares, or 17 per cent of its allotment under the current NCIB. Since instituting the NCIB in September of 2021, ARC has repurchased 18 per cent of its common shares outstanding. - In the fourth quarter of 2023, ARC announced that it entered into a long-term natural gas supply agreement with
Sabine Pass Liquefaction Stage V, LLC , a subsidiary of Cheniere Energy, Inc. ("Cheniere") for approximately 140 MMcf per day that is expected to commence by 2029. Under the agreement, ARC will supply natural gas and will receive a liquefied natural gas ("LNG") price based on the Dutch Title Transfer Facility ("TTF"), after fixed deductions for liquefaction, shipping, and regasification fees. - Attachie Phase I is progressing on-schedule and on budget. Initial commissioning volumes are anticipated in late 2024, with full production expected in the first quarter of 2025.
Year-end 2023 Results
- ARC generated record annual production in 2023 averaging 351,954 boe per day (63 per cent natural gas and 37 per cent crude oil and liquids), an increase of 11 per cent per share compared to 2022.
- ARC generated free funds flow of
$790 million ($1.29 per share) in 2023 and distributed 110 per cent (96 per cent net of proceeds from divestitures) of free funds flow to shareholders. ARC recognized net income of$1.6 billion ($2.61 per share). - Return on average capital employed ("ROACE")(7) was 23 per cent in 2023. Over the previous three years, ROACE has been between 18 and 35 per cent.
- Capital expenditures of
$1.8 billion were directly in-line with the Company guidance range of$1.8 to$1.9 billion . - Combined operating and transportation cost registered at
$9.70 per boe, slightly below the bottom end of ARC's guidance range. - ARC's market diversification strategy resulted in an annual average realized natural gas price of
$3.77 per Mcf;$0.84 per Mcf, or 29 per cent greater than the 2023 average AECO 7A Monthly Index price. This marks the 11th straight year where ARC's realized natural gas price exceeded AECO by 20 per cent or greater.
2023 Reserves & Contingent Resource Update(1)(8)
- ARC's before-tax net present value ("NPV") of proved plus probable ("2P") reserves, discounted at 10 per cent, increased 13 per cent from 2022 to
$38.00 per share(9) atDecember 31, 2023 . The 2P NPV considers the development of 20 per cent of ARC's internally identified inventory. - ARC booked 90 MMboe of 2P reserves at
Attachie , representing approximately five years of development at Attachie Phase I. The 116 undeveloped locations booked at year-end 2023 represent seven per cent of ARC's internal inventory estimate atAttachie , providing a considerable runway for future reserve growth. - Reserves were a record across all categories - increasing by between 12 per cent and 13 per cent per share on a proved producing ("PDP"), proved ("1P") and 2P basis.
- Kakwa PDP reserves increased by five per cent. This was due to strong performance from the 2023 development program and positive technical revisions, which resulted in an increase in reserve life index ("RLI") across all three categories (PDP, 1P, and 2P).
- 2P reserve adds of 310 MMboe were the largest in ARC's 28-year history, and for the 16th consecutive year, ARC's 2P reserve replacement from development activities was greater than 140 per cent of production.
- For the first time since the strategic combination with Seven Generations, ARC conducted a third-party Resource Evaluation of its
Montney properties to quantify resource quality and inventory depth. The study included an estimate of unrisked economic contingent resource of 15 Tcf and 920 MMbbl, in addition to ARC's 2P reserves of 8 Tcf and 670 MMbbl.- The study estimates a contingent plus prospective well inventory of 4,900 locations at its
Montney properties, over and above the 1,000 well inventory that forms ARC's before-tax 2P NPV of$38.00 per share.
- The study estimates a contingent plus prospective well inventory of 4,900 locations at its
ARC's consolidated financial statements and notes (the "financial statements") and Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") as at and for the three months and year ended
(1) | ARC has adopted the standard six thousand cubic feet ("Mcf") of natural gas to one barrel ("bbl") of crude oil ratio when converting natural gas to barrels of oil equivalent ("boe"). Boe may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of 6 Mcf:1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different than the energy equivalency of the 6:1 conversion ratio, utilizing the 6:1 conversion ratio may be misleading as an indication of value. |
(2) | Throughout this news release, crude oil ("crude oil") refers to light, medium, and heavy crude oil product types as defined by National Instrument 51-101 Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("NI 51-101"). Condensate is a natural gas liquid as defined by NI 51-101. Throughout this news release, natural gas liquids ("NGLs") comprise all natural gas liquids as defined by NI 51-101 other than condensate, which is disclosed separately. Throughout this news release, crude oil and liquids ("crude oil and liquids") refers to crude oil, condensate, and NGLs. |
(3) | Represents average daily production divided by the diluted weighted average common shares outstanding for the respective three months ended |
(4) | See Note 15 "Capital Management" in the financial statements and "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" in the 2023 Annual MD&A for information relating to this capital management measure, which information is incorporated by reference into this news release. |
(5) | See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" in the 2023 Annual MD&A for an explanation of the composition of this supplementary financial measure, which information is incorporated by reference into this news release. |
(6) | Non-GAAP financial measure that is not a standardized financial measure under International Financial Reporting Standards as issued by the |
(7) | Non-GAAP ratio that is not a standardized financial measure under IFRS Accounting Standards and may not be comparable to similar ratios disclosed by other issuers. Free funds flow, a non-GAAP financial measure, is used as a component of the non-GAAP ratio. See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" in the 2023 Annual MD&A for the non-GAAP ratio for the comparative period and other information relating to this non-GAAP ratio, which information is incorporated by reference into this news release. |
(8) | |
(9) | See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" of this news release for an explanation of the composition of this supplementary financial measure. |
FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL RESULTS
(Cdn$ millions, except per share amounts(1), boe amounts, | Three Months Ended | Year Ended | |||
and common shares outstanding) |
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FINANCIAL RESULTS | |||||
Net income | 236.4 | 506.3 | 741.0 | 1,596.5 | 2,302.3 |
Per share | 0.39 | 0.84 | 1.18 | 2.61 | 3.47 |
Cash flow from operating activities | 604.2 | 698.9 | 878.3 | 2,394.3 | 3,833.3 |
Per share(2) | 0.99 | 1.16 | 1.39 | 3.92 | 5.78 |
Funds from operations | 662.2 | 699.2 | 986.2 | 2,639.6 | 3,712.5 |
Per share | 1.09 | 1.16 | 1.56 | 4.32 | 5.60 |
Free funds flow | 260.8 | 154.7 | 602.9 | 789.8 | 2,270.6 |
Per share | 0.43 | 0.26 | 0.96 | 1.29 | 3.42 |
Dividends declared | 103.0 | 101.7 | 93.4 | 400.3 | 318.2 |
Per share | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.15 | 0.66 | 0.49 |
Cash flow used in investing activities | 394.6 | 434.3 | 350.7 | 1,690.7 | 1,413.2 |
Capital expenditures | 401.4 | 544.5 | 383.3 | 1,849.8 | 1,441.9 |
Long-term debt | 1,108.9 | 1,148.9 | 990.0 | 1,148.9 | 990.0 |
Net debt | 1,243.5 | 1,317.1 | 1,301.5 | 1,317.1 | 1,301.5 |
Common shares outstanding, weighted average diluted (millions) | 609.0 | 602.8 | 630.3 | 610.6 | 663.1 |
Common shares outstanding, end of period (millions) | 605.0 | 596.9 | 620.9 | 596.9 | 620.9 |
OPERATIONAL RESULTS | |||||
Production | |||||
Crude oil and condensate (bbl/day) | 87,098 | 85,805 | 90,135 | 83,880 | 86,393 |
Natural gas (MMcf/day) | 1,353 | 1,380 | 1,310 | 1,322 | 1,259 |
NGLs (bbl/day) | 47,557 | 49,474 | 51,311 | 47,760 | 49,385 |
Total (boe/day) | 360,177 | 365,248 | 359,730 | 351,954 | 345,613 |
Average realized price | |||||
Crude oil ($/bbl)(3) | 104.91 | 93.34 | 103.58 | 95.05 | 115.66 |
Condensate ($/bbl)(3) | 103.21 | 99.09 | 107.24 | 99.92 | 118.17 |
Natural gas ($/Mcf)(3) | 3.16 | 3.33 | 8.31 | 3.77 | 8.15 |
NGLs ($/bbl)(3) | 19.63 | 21.97 | 28.86 | 22.79 | 27.98 |
Average realized price ($/boe)(3) | 39.47 | 38.69 | 61.17 | 40.95 | 63.18 |
Netback | |||||
Commodity sales from production ($/boe)(4) | 39.47 | 38.69 | 61.17 | 40.95 | 63.18 |
Royalties ($/boe)(4) | (4.68) | (5.14) | (10.18) | (5.50) | (9.59) |
Operating expense ($/boe)(4) | (4.94) | (4.13) | (4.37) | (4.59) | (4.44) |
Transportation expense ($/boe)(4) | (4.94) | (4.59) | (5.70) | (5.11) | (5.90) |
Netback ($/boe)(4) | 24.91 | 24.83 | 40.92 | 25.75 | 43.25 |
TRADING STATISTICS(5) | |||||
High price | 22.05 | 23.77 | 20.49 | 23.77 | 22.88 |
Low price | 17.63 | 19.02 | 17.05 | 14.33 | 11.66 |
Close price | 21.68 | 19.67 | 18.25 | 19.67 | 18.25 |
Average daily volume (thousands of shares) | 3,705 | 4,271 | 4,259 | 4,488 | 6,563 |
(1) | Per share amounts, with the exception of dividends, are based on weighted average diluted common shares. |
(2) | See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" in the 2023 Annual MD&A for an explanation of the composition of this supplementary financial measure, which information is incorporated by reference into this news release. |
(3) | See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" in the 2023 Annual MD&A for an explanation of the composition of these supplementary financial measures, which information is incorporated by reference into this news release. |
(4) | Non-GAAP ratio that is not a standardized financial measure under IFRS Accounting Standards and may not be comparable to similar financial measures disclosed by other issuers. Netback, a non-GAAP financial measure, is used as a component of the non-GAAP ratio. See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" in the 2023 Annual MD&A for the non-GAAP ratio for the comparative period and other information relating to this non-GAAP ratio, which information is incorporated by reference into this news release. |
(5) | Trading prices are stated in Canadian dollars on a per share basis and are based on intra-day trading on the |
OUTLOOK
In 2023, ARC delivered on its strategy of safe and efficient
In 2024, ARC will build on this operating momentum to achieve the goals of the five-year outlook introduced in 2023. This will be defined and measured by a capital efficient
Execution of this plan is expected to drive an increase in profitable production growth and free funds flow per share beginning in 2025.
Operations Update
First quarter 2024 operations are progressing as planned. Drilling and completions activities have commenced at
Production in the first quarter is anticipated to average between 340,000 and 350,000 boe per day (63 per cent natural gas and 37 per cent crude oil and liquids) as planned within the 2024 budget. Growth in the second half of the year is expected to be driven by Kakwa, Sunrise, and start-up volumes from Attachie Phase I later in the year.
Attachie Phase I Update
Attachie Phase I development remains on schedule and on budget. ARC invested approximately
Completion of Attachie Phase I is anticipated in the fourth quarter of 2024 with commissioning volumes expected before year-end. Facility capacity for the first phase is 40,000 boe per day (40 per cent natural gas and 60 per cent crude oil and liquids).
- Facilities and related infrastructure are approximately 30 per cent complete.
- The natural gas sales line is complete; water ponds are complete and being utilized for drilling and completion activities; gathering pipelines are 40 per cent complete.
- ARC successfully drilled its first pad and commenced completion activities. ARC currently has two drilling rigs active at
Attachie . - Construction of the transmission and distribution lines to enable the electrification of the facility is on-track for start-up, which will lower ARC's emissions intensity.
- The permitting process is progressing well and ARC continues to receive additional permits working collaboratively with the neighbouring Treaty 8 First Nations in support of the multi-year development project.
(1) Subject to the approval of ARC's board of directors (the "Board"). |
The outlook through 2025 is outlined below, subject to Board approval.
2024 | 2025 | |
Total production (boe/day) | 350,000 - 360,000 | 375,000 - 400,000 |
Natural gas production (%) | 63 % | 60 % |
Crude oil and liquids production (%) | 37 % | 40 % |
Capital Expenditures ($ billions)(1) | 1.75 - 1.85 | 1.6 - 1.8 |
Funds from Operations ($ billions)(2)(3) | 2.5 - 2.8 | 2.9 - 3.2 |
(1) | Refer to the section entitled "About |
(2) | Based on the forward curve at |
(3) | See Note 15 "Capital Management" in the financial statements and "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" in the 2023 Annual MD&A for information relating to this capital management measure, which information is incorporated by reference into this news release. |
Guidance
Full-year 2024 guidance is unchanged and detailed in the table below.
- Planned capital expenditures of between
$1.75 to$1.85 billion (3), which includes approximately$500 million to complete and commission Attachie Phase I. - Average annual production of between 350,000 and 360,000 boe per day (63 per cent natural gas and 37 per cent crude oil and liquids).
- Kakwa production is expected to average approximately 180,000 boe per day (approximately 60 per cent crude oil and liquids) as previously disclosed (175,000 boe per day upon expiry of the ethane sales contract in the second quarter of 2024).
ARC's 2024 corporate guidance is based on various commodity price scenarios and economic conditions; certain guidance estimates may fluctuate with commodity price changes and regulatory changes. ARC's guidance provides readers with the information relevant to Management's expectations for financial and operational results for 2024. Readers are cautioned that the guidance estimates may not be appropriate for any other purpose.
2024 Guidance | |
Crude oil and condensate (bbl/day) | 87,000 - 91,500 |
Natural gas (MMcf/day) | 1,325 - 1,340 |
NGLs (bbl/day) | 42,000 - 45,000 |
Total (boe/day) | 350,000 - 360,000 |
Expenses ($/boe)(1) | |
Operating | 4.50 - 4.90 |
Transportation | 5.50 - 6.00 |
General and administrative ("G&A") expense before share-based compensation expense | 1.05 - 1.25 |
G&A - share-based compensation expense | 0.25 - 0.35 |
Interest and financing(2) | 0.90 - 1.00 |
Current income tax expense as a per cent of funds from operations(1) | 10 - 15 |
Capital expenditures ($ billions)(3) | 1.75 - 1.85 |
(1) | See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" in the 2023 Annual MD&A for an explanation of the composition of these supplementary financial measures, which information is incorporated by reference into this news release. |
(2) | Excludes accretion of ARC's asset retirement obligation. |
(3) | Refer to the section entitled "About |
FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL RESULTS
Production
- Fourth quarter production averaged a record 365,248 boe per day (63 per cent natural gas and 37 per cent crude oil and liquids). Production per share increased six per cent compared to the fourth quarter of 2022.
- Fourth quarter production exceeded fourth quarter guidance of 355,000 boe per day, due to stronger production across the asset base.
- Full-year production averaged a record 351,954 boe per day (63 per cent natural gas and 37 per cent crude oil and liquids). Production was in-line with guidance and represented a two per cent increase (11 per cent on a per share basis) from average daily production in 2022.
- Production in the first quarter of 2024 is estimated to average between 340,000 to 350,000 boe per day (63 per cent natural gas and 37 per cent crude oil and liquids).
Funds from Operations, Cash Flow from Operating Activities, and Free Funds Flow
- Fourth quarter 2023 funds from operations and cash from operating activities were each
$699 million ($1.16 per share). Funds from operations increased six per cent from the third quarter of 2023, driven by a combination of higher production volumes, lower operating expense, G&A expense, and current income tax expense. - In 2023, ARC generated funds from operations of
$2.6 billion ($4.32 per share) and cash from operating activities of$2.4 billion ($3.92 per share). - Fourth quarter and full-year 2023 free funds flow was
$155 million ($0.26 per share) and$790 million ($1.29 per share), respectively.
The following table details the change in funds from operations for the fourth quarter of 2023 relative to the third quarter of 2023.
Funds from Operations Reconciliation | $ millions | $/share(1) |
Funds from operations for the three months ended | 662.2 | 1.09 |
Production volumes | ||
Crude oil and liquids | (8.8) | (0.01) |
Natural gas | 7.5 | 0.01 |
Commodity prices | ||
Crude oil and liquids | (27.8) | (0.04) |
Natural gas | 21.3 | 0.02 |
Sales of commodities purchased from third parties | 11.1 | 0.02 |
Other income | (0.5) | — |
Realized loss on risk management contracts | 1.6 | — |
Royalties | (17.6) | (0.03) |
Expenses | ||
Commodities purchased from third parties | (12.8) | (0.02) |
Operating | 25.0 | 0.04 |
Transportation | 9.6 | 0.02 |
G&A | 15.2 | 0.02 |
Interest and financing | (4.0) | (0.01) |
Current income tax | 18.5 | 0.03 |
Realized gain on foreign exchange | (0.9) | — |
Other | (0.4) | — |
Weighted average shares, diluted | — | 0.02 |
Funds from operations for the three months ended | 699.2 | 1.16 |
(1) Per share amounts are based on weighted average diluted common shares. |
Shareholder Returns
- In 2023, ARC returned 110 per cent (96 per cent net of proceeds from divestitures) of free funds flow to shareholders through the base dividend and share repurchases.
- In the first quarter of 2023, the Board approved an increase of 13 per cent to the Company's quarterly dividend, from
$0.15 per share to$0.17 per share.
- In the first quarter of 2023, the Board approved an increase of 13 per cent to the Company's quarterly dividend, from
- During the fourth quarter, ARC distributed 183 per cent (143 per cent net of proceeds from divestitures) or
$284 million ($0.47 per share) of free funds flow to shareholders through a combination of dividends and share repurchases under its NCIB.- During the fourth quarter 2023, ARC declared dividends of
$102 million ($0.17 per share). - ARC repurchased 8.4 million common shares under its NCIB at a weighted average price of
$21.65 per share.
- During the fourth quarter 2023, ARC declared dividends of
- Since commencing its initial NCIB in
September 2021 , ARC has repurchased approximately 18 per cent of total outstanding shares or 131 million common shares, at a weighted average price of$16.06 per share. - ARC will continue to repurchase common shares when the intrinsic value of the Company's common shares exceeds the current market trading price. ARC determines the intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow framework under a range of commodity price assumptions and discount rates.
- ARC intends to continue to distribute essentially all of its free funds flow to shareholders given its strong financial position.
Operating, Transportation, and General and Administrative Expense
Operating Expense
- ARC's fourth quarter 2023 operating expense of
$4.13 per boe decreased 16 per cent from the third quarter of 2023, due to lower planned maintenance activity and higher production. - Full-year 2023 operating expense of
$4.59 per boe was in-line with Company guidance. - Operating expense per boe in 2024 is anticipated to average between
$4.50 to$4.90 per boe.
Transportation Expense
- ARC's fourth quarter 2023 transportation expense per boe of
$4.59 decreased by seven per cent or$0.35 per boe from the third quarter of 2023 primarily due to higher volumes and lower than anticipated crude oil and liquids transportation costs. - ARC's full-year 2023 transportation expense of
$5.11 per boe was below ARC's guidance range of$5.50 to$6.00 per boe primarily due to modifications of certain natural gas transportation contracts and lower fuel gas expense.
General and Administrative Expense
- ARC's fourth quarter 2023 general and administrative expense before share-based compensation expense per boe of
$1.43 increased by$0.42 per boe from the third quarter of 2023. The increase is due to an enterprise system implementation that increased consulting and technology costs. - ARC's full-year 2023 general and administrative expense of
$1.65 per boe was above Company guidance primarily due to share-based compensation expense driven by share price appreciation.
Cash Flow Used in Investing Activities and Capital Expenditures
- Cash flow used in investing activities was
$434 million during the fourth quarter of 2023. Capital expenditures in the fourth quarter were$545 million . ARC drilled 37 wells and completed 33 wells during the quarter, focused mainly atAttachie , Kakwa, and Greater Dawson. - ARC executed its 2023 capital program efficiently and had a record year in terms of safety performance.
- Cash flow used in investing activities was
$1.7 billion . ARC invested$1.8 billion in capital expenditures to drill 148 wells and complete 151 wells.
- Cash flow used in investing activities was
The following table details ARC's 2023 drilling and completion activities by area.
Year Ended | ||
Area | Wells Drilled(1)(2) | Wells Completed(1) |
Kakwa | 75 | 88 |
Greater Dawson | 38 | 36 |
Sunrise | 26 | 17 |
6 | 10 | |
3 | — | |
Total | 148 | 151 |
(1) Wells drilled and completed for operated assets only. |
(2) Excludes disposal wells. |
Physical Natural Gas Marketing
- ARC's infrastructure ownership and committed takeaway capacity to end markets played a critical role in mitigating AECO volatility and capturing additional margin in periods of price volatility in
North America .- ARC's average realized natural gas price during the fourth quarter was
$3.33 per Mcf, 25 per cent higher than the average AECO 7A Monthly Index price for the period. - Full-year 2023 market diversification activities resulted in an average realized natural gas price of
$3.77 per Mcf; 29 per cent greater than the average AECO 7A Monthly Index price.
- ARC's average realized natural gas price during the fourth quarter was
- In the fourth quarter 2023, ARC entered into a long-term natural gas supply agreement with Cheniere. The agreement commences with the commercial operations of the first train of the Sabine Pass Stage 5
Expansion Project SPL Expansion Project , which is anticipated to occur by 2029.- ARC will supply 140 MMbtu per day of natural gas for 15 years, and will receive an LNG price based on the TTF price, after fixed deductions for liquefaction, shipping and regasification fees.
- ARC plans to market up to 25 per cent of its future natural gas production to international markets with revenue linked to international or LNG pricing.
Net Debt
- As of
December 31, 2023 , ARC's long-term debt balance was$1.1 billion , and its net debt balance was$1.3 billion , or 0.5 times funds from operations.- ARC targets its net debt to be in the range of or below 1.0 times funds from operations and manages its capital structure to achieve that target over the long-term.
- Long-term debt is comprised of
$155 million of syndicated credit facilities and$1.0 billion of senior notes outstanding. - Subsequent to year-end, ARC extended its credit facility by one year to a maturity date of
February 2028 and reduced the capacity to$1.7 billion from$1.8 billion .
- ARC holds an investment-grade credit rating, which allows the Company to have access to capital and to manage a low-cost capital structure. ARC is committed to protecting its strong financial position by maintaining significant financial flexibility with its balance sheet.
Net Income
- ARC recognized net income of
$506 million ($0.84 per share) during the fourth quarter of 2023, an increase of$270 million ($0.45 per share) from the third quarter 2023. - In 2023, ARC recognized net income of
$1.6 billion ($2.61 per share), compared to net income of$2.3 billion ($3.47 per share) in 2022. The decrease in net income compared to the prior year was primarily due to lower average realized commodity prices.
2023 RESERVES
Highlights
- ARC's before-tax NPV for 2P reserves of
$38.00 per share represented a 13 per cent increase compared to 2022. The before-tax NPV of$23.0 billion , discounted at 10 per cent, registered as the highest in ARC's 28-year history.- ARC's NPV for 2P reserves of
$38.00 per share is based on the development of approximately 1,000 gross 2P locations, which represents 20 per cent of the Company's total gross internal inventory estimates. - ARC's before-tax PDP NPV, discounted at 10 per cent, registered at
$14.00 per share, and$26.00 per share on a 1P basis. - ARC's NPV was determined using GLJ's forecast pricing and foreign exchange rates at
January 1, 2024 , with a 10-year average WTI price ofUS$81 per barrel and a 10-year average AECO price of$4.23 per million MMBtu.
- ARC's NPV for 2P reserves of
- Reserves were a record across all categories - increasing by between 12 per cent and 13 per cent per share on a PDP, 1P and 2P basis.
- Reserve growth was primarily driven by development additions at
Attachie and positive technical revisions and drilling extensions at Kakwa and Sunrise. - ARC booked 90 MMboe of 2P reserves at
Attachie , representing approximately five years of development at Attachie Phase I. The 116 undeveloped locations booked at year-end 2023 represent seven per cent of ARC's internal inventory estimate atAttachie , providing a considerable runway for future reserve growth. - PDP reserves increased 43 MMboe or eight per cent (12 per cent per share) to 591 MMboe, driven by positive technical revisions and drilling extensions.
- 2P reserves increased by nine per cent, and 13 per cent on a per share basis. The increase was driven by development at
Attachie , Sunrise, and Kakwa.
- Reserve growth was primarily driven by development additions at
- Kakwa reserves increased by five per cent on a PDP basis, and between one and two per cent on each of a 1P and 2P basis, respectively. The increase was driven by positive technical revisions and drilling extensions, which more than offset the previously announced ethane sales contract expiry in the second quarter of 2024 that resulted in a decrease in barrels of oil equivalent, as shown in the economic category.
- RLI at Kakwa increased across all categories (PDP RLI 4.8 years; 2P RLI 14.2 years), and is based on approximately 44 per cent of the internally identified inventory at Kakwa.
- 2P reserves of 1,994 MMboe were a record, driven by organic reserve growth at
Attachie , Sunrise and Kakwa.Attachie comprised 12 per cent of total 2P locations with 116 undeveloped drilling locations booked.
- PDP finding, development and acquisition ("FD&A") costs, including future development capital ("FDC") of
$9.81 per boe(1) equated to a 2.5 times(2) PDP FD&A recycle ratio.- FDC for 2P reserves totaled
$10.0 billion atDecember 31, 2023 as compared to$9.1 billion atDecember 31, 2022 . This 10 per cent increase in FDC is primarily due to the sanctioning of Attachie Phase I. - FDC for 2P reserves equates to 5.6 times the mid-point of ARC's 2024 capital budget.
- FDC for 2P reserves totaled
- ARC's RLI increased on a PDP, 1P, and 2P basis in 2023, driven by strong technical revisions and drilling extensions.
(1) | Non-GAAP ratio that is not a standardized financial measure under IFRS Accounting Standards and may not be comparable to similar financial measures disclosed by other issuers. Capital expenditures and adjusted net capital acquisitions, both non-GAAP financial measures, are used as components of this non-GAAP ratio. See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" of this news release for the non-GAAP ratio for the comparative period and other information relating to this non-GAAP ratio. |
(2) | Non-GAAP ratio that is not a standardized financial measure under IFRS Accounting Standards and may not be comparable to similar financial measures disclosed by other issuers. Netback per boe, a non-GAAP ratio, is used as a component of this non-GAAP ratio. Additional information with respect to the calculation of netback per boe can be found under "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" in the 2023 Annual MD&A, which is incorporated by reference herein. See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" of this news release for the non-GAAP ratio for the comparative period and other information relating to this non-GAAP ratio. |
Reserves Reconciliation
Reserves Reconciliation Company Gross(1) | Tight Oil(2) (Mbbl) | NGLs(3) (Mbbl) | Total Oil and NGLs(4) (Mbbl) | Natural Gas(5) (MMcf) | Oil Equivalent (Mboe) |
Proved Producing | |||||
Opening Balance, | 10,192 | 181,423 | 191,615 | 2,142,265 | 548,659 |
Extensions and Improved Recovery(6) | 3,225 | 53,431 | 56,656 | 498,968 | 139,817 |
Technical Revisions | 1,063 | 4,392 | 5,456 | 245,168 | 46,317 |
Acquisitions | — | — | — | — | — |
Dispositions | (472) | (335) | (807) | (10,756) | (2,600) |
Economic Factors | — | (14,937) | (14,938) | 15,461 | (12,361) |
Production | (2,986) | (44,994) | (47,980) | (482,300) | (128,363) |
Ending Balance, | 11,022 | 178,979 | 190,002 | 2,408,806 | 591,469 |
Total Proved | |||||
Opening Balance, | 18,698 | 391,339 | 410,037 | 4,794,579 | 1,209,133 |
Extensions and Improved Recovery(6) | 1,535 | 64,191 | 65,726 | 650,988 | 174,224 |
Technical Revisions | 1,594 | 26,011 | 27,605 | 289,879 | 75,918 |
Acquisitions | — | — | — | — | — |
Dispositions | (472) | (1,478) | (1,950) | (39,723) | (8,570) |
Economic Factors | — | (26,651) | (26,651) | 14,168 | (24,290) |
Production | (2,986) | (44,994) | (47,980) | (482,300) | (128,363) |
Ending Balance, | 18,369 | 408,418 | 426,787 | 5,227,591 | 1,298,052 |
Proved plus Probable | |||||
Opening Balance, | 32,031 | 611,947 | 643,978 | 7,107,440 | 1,828,551 |
Extensions and Improved Recovery(6) | 2,103 | 86,070 | 88,172 | 1,020,207 | 258,207 |
Technical Revisions | (49) | 26,853 | 26,804 | 327,807 | 81,439 |
Acquisitions | — | — | — | — | — |
Dispositions | (638) | (2,715) | (3,353) | (72,177) | (15,382) |
Economic Factors | (1) | (35,538) | (35,539) | 32,499 | (30,122) |
Production | (2,986) | (44,994) | (47,980) | (482,300) | (128,363) |
Ending Balance, | 30,460 | 641,622 | 672,082 | 7,933,476 | 1,994,328 |
(1) | Amounts may not add due to rounding. |
(2) | Tight Oil includes immaterial amounts of Light, Medium, Heavy Crude Oil. |
(3) | Condensate and pentanes plus represented 63 per cent of PDP NGLs reserves, 66 per cent of TP NGLs reserves, and 69 per cent of 2P NGLs reserves for the respective opening balances at |
(4) | Total Oil and NGLs represents the summation of Light, Medium, Heavy Oil, and Tight Oil, and NGLs. |
(5) | Natural Gas includes shale gas and conventional natural gas product types, as conventional natural gas makes up less than two per cent of total gas and is therefore considered to be immaterial. |
(6) | Reserves additions for discoveries, infill drilling, improved recovery, and extensions are combined and reported as "Extensions and Improved Recovery". |
Net Present Value Summary
For a summary of the GLJ forecast pricing and foreign exchange rates used to evaluate ARC's reserves, see "2023 Independent Qualified Reserves Evaluation" of this news release.
($ millions) | Undiscounted | Discounted at 10% |
Before-tax NPV(1)(2) | ||
Proved Producing | 12,968 | 8,402 |
Proved Developed Non-producing | 690 | 457 |
Proved Undeveloped | 14,940 | 6,442 |
Total Proved | 28,598 | 15,301 |
Probable | 20,201 | 7,661 |
Proved plus Probable | 48,799 | 22,962 |
After-tax NPV(1)(2)(3)(4) | ||
Proved Producing | 10,746 | 7,120 |
Proved Developed Non-producing | 523 | 348 |
Proved Undeveloped | 11,209 | 4,608 |
Total Proved | 22,478 | 12,075 |
Probable | 15,286 | 5,702 |
Proved plus Probable | 37,763 | 17,778 |
(1) | Amounts may not add due to rounding. |
(2) | Based on NI 51-101 company net interest reserves and GLJ forecast pricing and foreign exchange rates and costs at |
(3) | Based on ARC's estimated tax pools at |
(4) | The after-tax NPV of the future net revenue attributed to ARC's crude oil and natural gas properties reflects the tax burden on the properties on a standalone basis and does not necessarily reflect the business entity tax-level situation or tax planning. For information at the business entity level, see the section entitled Taxes in the 2023 Annual MD&A. |
Finding, Development and Acquisition Costs
- ARC continues to demonstrate the profitability and consistency of its
Montney assets through low finding and development ("F&D") costs and strong recycle ratios.- ARC delivered a 2P F&D cost, including FDC, of
$9.17 per boe(1) ($5.98 per boe excluding FDC), a decrease from$16.18 per boe ($7.42 per boe excluding FDC) in 2022. - Including net acquisitions and dispositions, ARC's 2P FD&A cost, including FDC, was
$9.03 per boe(1) ($5.89 per boe excluding FDC), compared to$16.18 per boe ($7.39 per boe excluding FDC) in the prior year.
- ARC delivered a 2P F&D cost, including FDC, of
FD&A costs are provided including and excluding the change in FDC in the table below.
Including FDC | F&D Cost(2) ($/boe) | FD&A Cost(2) ($/boe) | F&D Recycle Ratio(2) | FD&A Recycle |
Proved Producing(3) | ||||
2023 | 10.34 | 9.81 | 2.5 | 2.6 |
2022 | 8.35 | 8.31 | 5.2 | 5.2 |
2021 | 8.48 | 16.75 | 3.4 | 1.7 |
Three-year Average(4) | 9.11 | 12.91 | 3.6 | 2.5 |
Total Proved(3) | ||||
2023 | 11.33 | 11.04 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
2022 | 16.92 | 16.90 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
2021 | 7.78 | 12.68 | 3.8 | 2.3 |
Three-year Average(4) | 11.96 | 12.94 | 2.7 | 2.5 |
Proved plus Probable(3) | ||||
2023 | 9.17 | 9.03 | 2.8 | 2.9 |
2022 | 16.18 | 16.18 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
2021 | 7.28 | 10.39 | 4.0 | 2.8 |
Three-year Average(4) | 9.49 | 10.90 | 3.5 | 3.0 |
Excluding FDC | F&D Cost(2) ($/boe) | FD&A Cost(2) ($/boe) | F&D Recycle Ratio(2) | FD&A Recycle |
Proved Producing(3) | ||||
2023 | 10.64 | 10.12 | 2.4 | 2.5 |
2022 | 8.37 | 8.33 | 5.2 | 5.2 |
2021 | 8.08 | 16.27 | 3.6 | 1.8 |
Three-year Average(4) | 9.12 | 12.75 | 3.6 | 2.6 |
Total Proved(3) | ||||
2023 | 8.19 | 7.97 | 3.1 | 3.2 |
2022 | 9.58 | 9.54 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
2021 | 7.31 | 8.11 | 4.0 | 3.6 |
Three-year Average(4) | 8.34 | 8.28 | 3.9 | 4.0 |
Proved plus Probable(3) | ||||
2023 | 5.98 | 5.89 | 4.3 | 4.4 |
2022 | 7.42 | 7.39 | 5.8 | 5.9 |
2021 | 6.76 | 5.96 | 4.3 | 4.9 |
Three-year Average(4) | 6.59 | 6.14 | 5.0 | 5.4 |
(1) | Non-GAAP ratio that is not a standardized financial measure under IFRS Accounting Standards and may not be comparable to similar ratios disclosed by other issuers. Capital expenditures and adjusted net capital acquisitions, both non-GAAP financial measures, are used as components of the non-GAAP ratio. See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" of this news release for the non-GAAP ratio for the comparative period and other information relating to this non-GAAP ratio. |
(2) | F&D and FD&A costs and recycle ratios take into account reserves revisions during the year on a per boe basis, and include FDC. |
(3) | The aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred in the financial year and the changes during that year in estimated FDC may not reflect the total F&D and FD&A costs related to reserves additions for that year. |
(4) | Three-year average F&D and FD&A costs are calculated as the total capital expenditures over the three prior years divided by the total reserves additions over the three prior years. The three-year average recycle ratio is calculated as the three-year F&D or FD&A costs divided by the three-year average netback per boe. |
ENERGY INNOVATION
- Dawson III and IV Electrification – In 2023, ARC completed the electrification of its Dawson III and IV facilities. In addition, Attachie Phase I will be fully electrified at start-up, marking an important milestone in achieving its emissions intensity reduction targets.
Hydrogen Pilot Project – In the first quarter of 2024, ARC announced a partnership withEkona Power Inc. , a Canadian-based clean technology company, to conduct a field-based hydrogen pilot. The pilot project will evaluate the technology's ability to produce a reliable supply of clean hydrogen using the Company's existing natural gas infrastructure at ARC's Gold Creek natural gas plant inAlberta .
BOARD OF DIRECTORS UPDATE
ARC is pleased to announce the appointment of
After five years of service,
CONFERENCE CALL
ARC's senior leadership team will be hosting a conference call to discuss the Company's fourth quarter and full-year 2023 results on
Date | |
Time | |
Dial-in Numbers | |
587-880-2171 | |
416-764-8659 | |
Toll-free | 1-888-664-6392 |
Conference ID | 22053891 |
Webcast URL | https://app.webinar.net/qZAjMXE1lQb |
Callers are encouraged to dial in 15 minutes before the start time to register for the event. A replay will be available on ARC's website at www.arcresources.com following the conference call.
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (unaudited)
As at
Cdn$ millions | ||
ASSETS | ||
Current assets | ||
Cash and cash equivalents | 1.1 | 57.1 |
Inventory | 29.1 | 6.7 |
Accounts receivable | 583.0 | 863.2 |
Prepaid expense | 102.7 | 52.5 |
Risk management contracts | 177.5 | 0.9 |
Assets held for sale | — | 6.1 |
893.4 | 986.5 | |
Risk management contracts | 61.5 | 13.3 |
Long-term investments | 19.7 | 14.5 |
Exploration and evaluation assets | 307.6 | 290.9 |
Property, plant and equipment | 9,836.5 | 9,300.3 |
Right-of-use assets | 1,016.0 | 770.2 |
248.2 | 248.2 | |
Total assets | 12,382.9 | 11,623.9 |
LIABILITIES | ||
Current liabilities | ||
Accounts payable and accrued liabilities | 753.3 | 1,190.9 |
Current portion of lease obligations | 85.2 | 92.4 |
Current portion of other deferred liabilities | 20.8 | 20.0 |
Current portion of asset retirement obligation | 17.0 | 16.0 |
Dividends payable | 101.7 | 93.4 |
Risk management contracts | 3.6 | 303.0 |
981.6 | 1,715.7 | |
Risk management contracts | 10.5 | 38.1 |
Long-term portion of lease obligations | 974.6 | 702.9 |
Long-term debt | 1,148.9 | 990.0 |
Long-term incentive compensation liability | 58.4 | 48.1 |
Other deferred liabilities | 125.9 | 135.7 |
Asset retirement obligation | 434.3 | 378.3 |
Deferred taxes | 1,220.9 | 961.6 |
Total liabilities | 4,955.1 | 4,970.4 |
SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY | ||
Shareholders' capital | 6,268.2 | 6,497.6 |
Contributed surplus | 36.1 | 39.9 |
Retained earnings | 1,141.4 | 139.1 |
Accumulated other comprehensive loss | (17.9) | (23.1) |
Total shareholders' equity | 7,427.8 | 6,653.5 |
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity | 12,382.9 | 11,623.9 |
Refer to the accompanying notes to ARC's consolidated financial statements as at and for the year ended
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME (unaudited)
For the three months and years ended
Three Months Ended | Year Ended | |||
(Cdn$ millions, except per share amounts) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 |
Commodity sales from production | 1,300.2 | 2,024.4 | 5,260.4 | 7,969.9 |
Royalties | (172.8) | (336.8) | (706.8) | (1,209.2) |
Sales of commodities purchased from third parties | 261.7 | 458.1 | 1,101.5 | 1,880.5 |
Revenue from commodity sales | 1,389.1 | 2,145.7 | 5,655.1 | 8,641.2 |
Interest and other income | 3.5 | 3.7 | 12.3 | 18.1 |
Gain (loss) on risk management contracts | 207.0 | 39.6 | 354.4 | (999.0) |
Total revenue, interest and other income, and gain (loss) on risk management contracts | 1,599.6 | 2,189.0 | 6,021.8 | 7,660.3 |
Commodities purchased from third parties | 259.2 | 422.4 | 1,076.3 | 1,783.3 |
Operating | 138.6 | 144.7 | 589.8 | 559.9 |
Transportation | 154.3 | 188.6 | 656.0 | 744.2 |
General and administrative | 52.5 | 56.0 | 212.2 | 213.2 |
Interest and financing | 31.6 | 25.5 | 105.5 | 97.2 |
Impairment (reversal of impairment) of financial assets | (1.4) | 4.2 | (7.3) | 6.7 |
Depletion, depreciation and amortization and impairment of property, plant and equipment | 353.6 | 364.2 | 1,405.8 | 1,313.7 |
Loss (gain) on foreign exchange | 10.8 | 4.7 | 10.6 | (34.1) |
Gain on disposal of crude oil and natural gas assets | (58.5) | — | (84.4) | (2.0) |
Total expenses | 940.7 | 1,210.3 | 3,964.5 | 4,682.1 |
Net income before income taxes | 658.9 | 978.7 | 2,057.3 | 2,978.2 |
Provision for income taxes | ||||
Current | 41.5 | 68.5 | 201.5 | 288.5 |
Deferred | 111.1 | 169.2 | 259.3 | 387.4 |
Total income taxes | 152.6 | 237.7 | 460.8 | 675.9 |
Net income | 506.3 | 741.0 | 1,596.5 | 2,302.3 |
Net income per share | ||||
Basic | 0.84 | 1.18 | 2.62 | 3.48 |
Diluted | 0.84 | 1.18 | 2.61 | 3.47 |
Refer to the accompanying notes to ARC's consolidated financial statements as at and for the year ended
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (unaudited)
For the three months and years ended
Three Months Ended | Year Ended | |||
(Cdn$ millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 |
Net income | 506.3 | 741.0 | 1,596.5 | 2,302.3 |
Items that may be reclassified to the consolidated statements of income in subsequent periods: | ||||
Net unrealized gain (loss) on foreign currency translation adjustment | 4.4 | 5.1 | 5.2 | (20.6) |
Comprehensive income | 510.7 | 746.1 | 1,601.7 | 2,281.7 |
Refer to the accompanying notes to ARC's consolidated financial statements as at and for the year ended
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CHANGES IN SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY (unaudited)
For the years ended
(Cdn$ millions) | Shareholders' | Contributed Surplus | Retained | Accumulated | Total | ||||
7,221.1 | 46.3 | (1,337.4) | (2.5) | 5,927.5 | |||||
Comprehensive income | — | — | 2,302.3 | (20.6) | 2,281.7 | ||||
Recognized under share-based compensation plans | (0.3) | 1.5 | — | — | 1.2 | ||||
Recognized on exercise of share options | 37.3 | (7.9) | — | — | 29.4 | ||||
Repurchase of shares for cancellation | (781.1) | — | (513.7) | — | (1,294.8) | ||||
Change in liability for share purchase commitment | 20.6 | — | 6.1 | — | 26.7 | ||||
Dividends declared | — | — | (318.2) | — | (318.2) | ||||
6,497.6 | 39.9 | 139.1 | (23.1) | 6,653.5 | |||||
Comprehensive income | — | — | 1,596.5 | 5.2 | 1,601.7 | ||||
Recognized under share-based compensation plans | 0.2 | 1.0 | — | — | 1.2 | ||||
Recognized on exercise of share options | 21.4 | (4.8) | — | — | 16.6 | ||||
Repurchase of shares for cancellation | (264.6) | — | (199.5) | — | (464.1) | ||||
Change in liability for share purchase commitment | 13.6 | — | 5.6 | — | 19.2 | ||||
Dividends declared | — | — | (400.3) | — | (400.3) | ||||
6,268.2 | 36.1 | 1,141.4 | (17.9) | 7,427.8 |
Refer to the accompanying notes to ARC's consolidated financial statements as at and for the year ended
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (unaudited)
For the three months and years ended
Three Months Ended | Year Ended | |||
(Cdn$ millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 |
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES | ||||
Net income | 506.3 | 741.0 | 1,596.5 | 2,302.3 |
Add items not involving cash: | ||||
Unrealized gain on risk management contracts | (227.3) | (317.6) | (556.2) | (280.5) |
Accretion of asset retirement obligation | 3.7 | 3.1 | 13.2 | 11.0 |
Impairment (reversal of impairment) of financial assets | (1.4) | 4.2 | (7.3) | 6.7 |
Depletion, depreciation and amortization and impairment of property, plant and equipment | 353.6 | 364.2 | 1,405.8 | 1,313.7 |
Unrealized loss (gain) on foreign exchange | 11.3 | 21.2 | 7.1 | (28.8) |
Gain on disposal of crude oil and natural gas assets | (58.5) | — | (84.4) | (2.0) |
Deferred taxes | 111.1 | 169.2 | 259.3 | 387.4 |
Other | 0.4 | 0.9 | 5.6 | 2.7 |
Net change in other liabilities | (1.6) | (13.9) | (9.3) | (129.2) |
Change in non-cash working capital | 1.3 | (94.0) | (236.0) | 250.0 |
Cash flow from operating activities | 698.9 | 878.3 | 2,394.3 | 3,833.3 |
CASH FLOW USED IN FINANCING ACTIVITIES | ||||
Draw of long-term debt under revolving credit facilities | 1,359.3 | 1,396.4 | 4,247.9 | 7,027.0 |
Repayment of long-term debt | (1,320.3) | (1,533.4) | (4,092.9) | (7,748.2) |
Proceeds from exercise of share options | 2.3 | 2.7 | 16.6 | 29.4 |
Repurchase of shares | (181.9) | (317.4) | (469.3) | (1,292.3) |
Repayment of principal relating to lease obligations | (22.0) | (20.3) | (69.9) | (84.6) |
Cash dividends paid | (103.1) | (76.7) | (392.0) | (294.3) |
Cash flow used in financing activities | (265.7) | (548.7) | (759.6) | (2,363.0) |
CASH FLOW USED IN INVESTING ACTIVITIES | ||||
Acquisition of crude oil and natural gas assets | — | (0.1) | (0.5) | (2.7) |
Disposal of crude oil and natural gas assets | 44.2 | — | 117.8 | 11.9 |
Property, plant and equipment development expenditures | (533.8) | (373.8) | (1,826.0) | (1,419.7) |
Exploration and evaluation asset expenditures | (4.5) | (3.6) | (11.8) | (6.4) |
Long-term investments | (0.3) | (3.3) | (5.4) | (12.0) |
Change in non-cash working capital | 60.1 | 30.1 | 35.2 | 15.7 |
Cash flow used in investing activities | (434.3) | (350.7) | (1,690.7) | (1,413.2) |
INCREASE (DECREASE) IN CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENTS | (1.1) | (21.1) | (56.0) | 57.1 |
CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENTS, BEGINNING OF PERIOD | 2.2 | 78.2 | 57.1 | — |
CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENTS, END OF PERIOD | 1.1 | 57.1 | 1.1 | 57.1 |
The following are included in cash flow from operating activities: | ||||
Income taxes paid (received) in cash | 69.6 | (2.4) | 510.2 | (1.8) |
Interest paid in cash | 19.7 | 14.3 | 88.1 | 82.8 |
Refer to the accompanying notes to ARC's consolidated financial statements as at and for the year ended
NON-GAAP AND OTHER FINANCIAL MEASURES
Throughout this news release and in other materials disclosed by the Company, ARC employs certain measures to analyze its financial performance, financial position, and cash flow. These non-GAAP and other financial measures are not standardized financial measures under IFRS Accounting Standards and may not be comparable to similar financial measures disclosed by other issuers. The non-GAAP and other financial measures should not be considered to be more meaningful than generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP") measures which are determined in accordance with IFRS Accounting Standards, such as net income, cash flow from operating activities, and cash flow used in investing activities, as indicators of ARC's performance.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Capital Expenditures
ARC uses capital expenditures to monitor its capital investments relative to those budgeted by the Company on an annual basis. ARC's capital budget excludes acquisition or disposition activities as well as the accounting impact of any accrual changes and payments under certain lease arrangements. The most directly comparable GAAP measure to capital expenditures is cash flow used in investing activities. The following table details the composition of capital expenditures and its reconciliation to cash flow used in investing activities.
Three Months Ended | Year Ended | ||||
Capital Expenditures ($ millions) | September | December | December | December | December |
Cash flow used in investing activities | 394.6 | 434.3 | 350.7 | 1,690.7 | 1,413.2 |
Acquisition of crude oil and natural gas assets | — | — | (0.1) | (0.5) | (2.7) |
Disposal of crude oil and natural gas assets | — | 44.2 | — | 117.8 | 11.9 |
Long-term investments | (0.7) | (0.3) | (3.3) | (5.4) | (12.0) |
Change in non-cash investing working capital | 3.9 | 60.1 | 30.1 | 35.2 | 15.7 |
Other (1) | 3.6 | 6.2 | 5.9 | 12.0 | 15.8 |
Capital expenditures | 401.4 | 544.5 | 383.3 | 1,849.8 | 1,441.9 |
(1) Comprises non-cash capitalized costs related to the Company's right-of-use asset depreciation and share-based compensation. |
Free Funds Flow
ARC uses free funds flow as an indicator of the efficiency and liquidity of ARC's business, measuring its funds after capital investment available to manage debt levels, pay dividends, and return capital to shareholders through share repurchases. ARC computes free funds flow as funds from operations generated during the period less capital expenditures. Capital expenditures is a non-GAAP financial measure. By removing the impact of current period capital expenditures from funds from operations, Management monitors its free funds flow to inform its capital allocation decisions. The most directly comparable GAAP measure to free funds flow is cash flow from operating activities. The following table details the calculation of free funds flow and its reconciliation to cash flow from operating activities.
Three Months Ended | Year Ended | ||||
Free Funds Flow ($ millions) | September | December | December | December | December |
Cash flow from operating activities | 604.2 | 698.9 | 878.3 | 2,394.3 | 3,833.3 |
Net change in other liabilities | 7.9 | 1.6 | 13.9 | 9.3 | 129.2 |
Change in non-cash operating working capital | 50.1 | (1.3) | 94.0 | 236.0 | (250.0) |
Funds from operations | 662.2 | 699.2 | 986.2 | 2,639.6 | 3,712.5 |
Capital expenditures(1) | (401.4) | (544.5) | (383.3) | (1,849.8) | (1,441.9) |
Free funds flow | 260.8 | 154.7 | 602.9 | 789.8 | 2,270.6 |
(1) | Certain additional disclosures for these specified financial measures have been incorporated by reference. See "Cash Flow used in Investing Activities, Capital Expenditures, Acquisitions, and Dispositions" in the 2023 Annual MD&A. |
Adjusted Net Capital Acquisitions
Adjusted net capital acquisitions is a non-GAAP financial measure used in the determination of FD&A costs, which is a non-GAAP ratio. Adjusted net capital acquisitions is useful as it provides a measure of cash, debt, and share consideration used to acquire crude oil and natural gas assets during the period, net of cash provided by the disposal of any crude oil and natural gas assets during the period. The most directly comparable GAAP measure to adjusted net capital acquisitions is acquisition of crude oil and natural gas assets. The following table details the calculation of adjusted net capital acquisitions and its reconciliation to acquisition of crude oil and natural gas assets.
Adjusted Net Capital Acquisitions | Year Ended | Year Ended |
($ millions) | ||
Acquisition of crude oil and natural gas assets | (0.5) | 2.7 |
Remove: | ||
Disposal of crude oil and natural gas assets | 117.8 | (11.9) |
Adjusted net capital acquisitions | 117.3 | (9.2) |
Non-GAAP Ratios
Finding and Development Costs
ARC calculates F&D costs as capital expenditures divided by the change in reserves within the applicable reserves category. ARC calculates F&D costs, including FDC, as the sum of capital expenditures and the change in FDC required to bring the reserves on production, divided by the change in reserves within the applicable reserves category. Capital expenditures, a non-GAAP financial measure, is used as a component of F&D costs. Management uses F&D costs as a measure of capital efficiency for organic reserves development.
Finding, Development and Acquisition Costs
ARC calculates FD&A costs as the sum of capital expenditures and adjusted net capital acquisitions divided by the change in reserves within the applicable reserves category, inclusive of changes due to acquisitions and dispositions. ARC calculates FD&A costs, including FDC, as the sum of capital expenditures, adjusted net capital acquisitions, and the change in FDC required to bring the reserves on production, divided by the change in reserves within the applicable reserves category, inclusive of changes due to acquisitions and dispositions. Capital expenditures and adjusted net capital acquisitions, both non-GAAP financial measures, are used as components of FD&A costs. Management uses FD&A costs as a measure of capital efficiency for organic and acquired reserves development.
Recycle Ratio
ARC calculates recycle ratio by dividing the netback per boe by F&D or FD&A costs. Netback per boe is a non-GAAP ratio that uses netback, a non-GAAP financial measure, as a component. Capital expenditures, a non-GAAP financial measure, is used as a component of F&D costs. Capital expenditures and adjusted net capital acquisitions, both non-GAAP financial measures, are used as components of FD&A costs. Management uses recycle ratio to relate the cost of adding reserves to the expected cash flows to be generated.
Supplementary Financial Measures
Before-tax Proved plus Probable Net Present Value per Share
Before-tax 2P NPV per share is comprised of the before-tax NPV for 2P reserves, discounted at 10 per cent, as determined in accordance with NI 51-101, divided by common shares outstanding at the end of the period.
2023 INDEPENDENT QUALIFIED RESERVES EVALUATION
GLJ conducted a Reserves Evaluation, effective
Reserves included herein are stated on a company gross basis (working interest before deduction of royalties without the inclusion of any royalty interest) unless otherwise noted.
ARC's crude oil and natural gas reserves statement for the year ended
ARC also engaged GLJ to provide an evaluation of its contingent resources effective
Summary of GLJ
GLJ Price | WTI Crude Oil (US$/bbl) | Light Oil (Cdn$/bbl) | NYMEX Henry (US$/MMBtu) | AECO Natural Gas (Cdn$/MMBtu) | Foreign Exchange (US$/Cdn$) | |||||
2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | 2024 | 2023 | |
2024 | 72.50 | 75.00 | 89.40 | 95.30 | 2.75 | 4.50 | 2.01 | 4.77 | 0.755 | 0.745 |
2025 | 75.00 | 75.43 | 94.04 | 94.50 | 3.85 | 4.27 | 3.42 | 4.47 | 0.755 | 0.755 |
2026 | 76.99 | 76.94 | 95.31 | 95.14 | 4.16 | 4.35 | 4.30 | 4.49 | 0.765 | 0.765 |
2027 | 78.53 | 78.48 | 97.22 | 95.79 | 4.25 | 4.44 | 4.39 | 4.53 | 0.765 | 0.775 |
2028 | 80.10 | 80.05 | 99.16 | 97.70 | 4.33 | 4.53 | 4.47 | 4.62 | 0.765 | 0.775 |
2029 | 81.70 | 81.65 | 101.14 | 99.66 | 4.42 | 4.62 | 4.56 | 4.71 | 0.765 | 0.775 |
2030 | 83.34 | 83.28 | 103.16 | 101.65 | 4.50 | 4.71 | 4.65 | 4.80 | 0.765 | 0.775 |
2031 | 85.00 | 84.95 | 105.23 | 103.68 | 4.60 | 4.80 | 4.75 | 4.89 | 0.765 | 0.775 |
2032 | 86.70 | 86.65 | 107.33 | 104.31 | 4.69 | 4.90 | 4.84 | 4.99 | 0.765 | 0.775 |
2033(2) | 88.44 | 109.48 | 4.78 | 4.94 | 0.765 | 0.775 | ||||
Escalate | +2.0% per year | +2.0% per year | +2.0% per year | +2.0% per year | +2.0% per year | +2.0% per year | +2.0% per year | +2.0% per year | 0.765 | 0.775 |
(1) | GLJ assigns a value to ARC's existing physical diversification contracts for natural gas to consuming markets across |
(2) | Escalated at two per cent per year starting in 2034 in the |
Definitions of Oil and Gas Reserves
Reserves are estimated remaining quantities of crude oil and natural gas and related substances anticipated to be recoverable from known accumulations, as of a given date, based on the analysis of drilling, geological, geophysical, and engineering data; the use of established technology; and specified economic conditions, which are generally accepted as being reasonable. Reserves are classified according to the degree of certainty associated with the estimates as follows:
Proved Reserves are those reserves that can be estimated with a high degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves.
Probable Reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves. It is equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves.
Information Regarding Disclosure on Crude Oil and Natural Gas Reserves and Operational Information
In accordance with Canadian practice, production volumes and revenues are reported on a company gross basis, before deduction of Crown and other royalties, and without including any royalty interests, unless otherwise stated. Unless otherwise specified, all reserves volumes in this news release (and all information derived therefrom) are based on company gross reserves using forecast prices and costs.
This news release contains metrics commonly used in the crude oil and natural gas industry. These metrics do not have standardized meanings and may not be comparable to similar metrics disclosed by other issuers. See "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" of this news release and the definition of reserve replacement below. Management uses these metrics for its own performance measurements and to provide shareholders with measures to compare ARC's performance over time; however, such measures are not reliable indicators of ARC's future performance and future performance may not compare to the performance in previous periods.
- Reserves replacement is calculated by dividing the annual reserves additions, in boe, by ARC's annual production, in boe. Management uses this measure to determine the relative change of its reserves base over a period of time.
This news release discloses drilling inventory in three categories: (i) proved plus probable (2P) locations; (ii) contingent resources (2C) drilling locations; and (iii) prospective resources (PR) drilling locations. 2P locations are derived from the report prepared by GLJ, evaluating ARC's reserves as of
There is no certainty that ARC will drill all drilling locations and if drilled there is no certainty that such locations will result in additional oil and gas production. The drilling locations on which ARC will drill wells will ultimately depend upon the availability of capital, regulatory approvals, seasonal restrictions, oil and natural gas prices, costs, actual drilling results, additional reservoir information that is obtained and other factors.
This news release contains estimates of the NPV of the Company's future net revenue from reserves associated with ARC's assets. Such amounts do not represent the fair market value of such reserves. The recovery and reserve estimates provided herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. The NPV of the assets' base production is a snapshot in time and is based on the reserves evaluated using applicable pricing assumptions. It should not be assumed that the undiscounted or discounted NPV of future net revenue attributable to the assets represents the fair market value of those assets. The estimates for reserves for individual properties may not reflect the same confidence level as estimates of reserves for all properties due to the effects of aggregation. The recovery and reserve estimates of crude oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas reserves are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. Actual reserves may be greater than or less than the estimates relied upon for NPV calculations, herein.
FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION AND STATEMENTS
This news release contains certain forward-looking statements and forward-looking information (collectively referred to as "forward-looking information") within the meaning of applicable securities legislation about current expectations regarding the future based on certain assumptions made by ARC. Although ARC believes that the expectations represented by such forward-looking information are reasonable, there can be no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. Forward-looking information in this news release is identified by words such as "anticipate", "believe", "ongoing", "may", "expect", "estimate", "plan", "will", "project", "continue", "target", "strategy", "upholding", or similar expressions, and includes suggestions of future outcomes. In particular, but without limiting the foregoing, this news release contains forward-looking information with respect to: the anticipated terms and timing of the long-term natural gas supply agreement with
Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking information as ARC's actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied. ARC undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking information except as required by law. Developing forward-looking information involves reliance on a number of assumptions and consideration of certain risks and uncertainties, some of which are specific to ARC and others that apply to the industry generally. The material assumptions on which the forward-looking information in this news release are based, and the material risks and uncertainties underlying such forward-looking information, include: ARC's ability to successfully integrate and realize the anticipated benefits of completed or future acquisitions and divestitures; access to sufficient capital to pursue any development plans; ARC's ability to issue securities and to repurchase its securities under the NCIB; expectations and projections made in light of ARC's historical experience; data contained in key modeling statistics; the potential implementation of new technologies and the cost thereof; forecast commodity prices and other pricing assumptions with respect to ARC's 2024 capital expenditure budget; assumptions with respect to ARC's 2024 and 2025 guidance; continuing uncertainty of the impact of the
Forward-looking information in this news release pertaining to dividend increases and the repurchase of ARC's outstanding common shares, while based on ARC's current intentions and beliefs, are not guaranteed and should not be unduly relied upon. Any decisions with respect to dividends and/or share repurchases are subject to the approval of the Board.
The forward-looking information contained herein are expressly qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement. The forward-looking information included in this news release are made as of the date of this news release and, except as required by applicable securities laws, ARC undertakes no obligation to publicly update such forward-looking information to reflect new information, subsequent events or otherwise.
The forward-looking information in this news release also includes financial outlooks and other related forward-looking information (including production and financial-related metrics) relating to ARC, including, but not limited to: the expectations of ARC regarding free funds flow, funds from operations, net debt, and production. Any financial outlook and forward-looking information implied by such forward-looking statements are described in ARC's MD&A, and ARC's most recent annual information form, which are available on ARC's website at www.arcresources.com and under ARC's SEDAR+ profile at www.sedarplus.ca and are incorporated by reference herein.
About ARC
Please visit ARC's website at www.arcresources.com or contact Investor Relations:
E-mail: IR@arcresources.com
Telephone: (403) 503-8600
Fax: (403) 509-6427
Toll Free: 1-888-272-4900
Suite 1200, 308 - 4 Avenue SW
SOURCE
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