Projected Income Statement: ARC Resources Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: ARC Resources Ltd.

Fiscal Period: Dezember 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 751 1,829 1,302 1,317 1,336 2,654 2,322 2,247
Change - 143.54% -28.81% 1.15% 1.44% 98.71% -12.51% -3.23%
Announcement Date 2/10/21 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ARC Resources Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 335.5 1,062 1,442 1,826 1,846 1,753 1,966 2,116
Change - 216.48% 35.8% 26.64% 1.07% -5.03% 12.16% 7.64%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 320.2 1,354 2,271 1,198 627 1,648 1,484 1,322
Change - 322.74% 67.75% -47.25% -47.65% 162.87% -9.99% -10.86%
Announcement Date 2/10/21 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ARC Resources Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 48.37% 47.57% 64.78% 67.8% 63.23% 60.27% 60.68% 61.12%
EBIT Margin (%) -60.76% 24.31% 43.92% 37.01% 17.22% 32.4% 33.28% 34.63%
EBT Margin (%) -64.67% - - 45.06% 35.5% 28.84% 30.13% 31.85%
Net margin (%) -46.88% 17.2% 33.95% 34.97% 27.42% 22.54% 23.89% 25.97%
FCF margin (%) 27.43% 29.6% 33.48% 26.23% 15.3% 26.42% 23.42% 20.51%
FCF / Net Income (%) -58.52% 172.08% 98.62% 75.02% 55.78% 117.2% 98.05% 78.98%

Profitability

        
ROA -10.2% - - - - - - -
ROE -17.57% - 36.21% 21.78% 14.62% 17.53% 19.27% 19.77%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.33x 0.84x 0.3x 0.43x 0.52x 0.71x 0.6x 0.57x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.34x 1.35x 0.57x 1.1x 2.13x 1.61x 1.57x 1.7x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 28.74% 23.22% 21.26% 39.99% 45.02% 28.09% 31.04% 32.82%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 59.42% 48.81% 32.82% 58.99% 71.21% 46.61% 51.15% 53.7%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 104.78% 78.44% 63.5% 152.46% 294.34% 106.34% 132.51% 160.03%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.889 3.494 5.6 4.323 4.15 5.922 6.302 6.235
Change - 84.93% 60.29% -22.81% -3.99% 42.71% 6.42% -1.07%
Dividend per Share 1 0.3 0.286 0.49 0.66 0.7 0.7648 0.7955 0.844
Change - -4.67% 71.33% 34.69% 6.06% 9.25% 4.02% 6.1%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - 13.48 14.71 16.41 18.45
Change - - - - - 9.14% 11.51% 12.46%
EPS 1 -1.55 1.25 3.47 2.61 1.88 2.501 2.807 3.425
Change - 180.65% 177.6% -24.78% -27.97% 33.05% 12.23% 21.98%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 353,376 698,660 625,814 600,775 592,192 584,672 584,672 584,672
Announcement Date 2/10/21 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 12x 10.7x
PBR 2.05x 1.83x
EV / Sales 3.25x 3.14x
Yield 2.54% 2.64%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AAA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
30.10CAD
Average target price
34.13CAD
Spread / Average Target
+13.40%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. ARX Stock
  4. Financials ARC Resources Ltd.