Projected Income Statement: ARC Resources Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: ARC Resources Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 751 1,829 1,302 1,317 1,336 3,050 2,796 2,749
Change - 143.54% -28.81% 1.15% 1.44% 128.36% -8.33% -1.68%
Announcement Date 2/10/21 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ARC Resources Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 335.5 1,062 1,442 1,826 1,846 1,919 1,858 2,221
Change - 216.48% 35.8% 26.64% 1.07% 3.98% -3.2% 19.58%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 320.2 1,354 2,271 1,198 627 1,082 1,172 1,118
Change - 322.74% 67.75% -47.25% -47.65% 72.5% 8.33% -4.62%
Announcement Date 2/10/21 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ARC Resources Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 48.37% 47.57% 64.78% 67.8% 63.23% 57.36% 57.84% 58.57%
EBIT Margin (%) -60.76% 24.31% 43.92% 37.01% 17.22% 30.12% 28.62% 29.97%
EBT Margin (%) -64.67% - - 45.06% 35.5% 28.96% 27.28% 28.78%
Net margin (%) -46.88% 17.2% 33.95% 34.97% 27.42% 21.73% 21.24% 20.43%
FCF margin (%) 27.43% 29.6% 33.48% 26.23% 15.3% 18.21% 19.62% 18.16%
FCF / Net Income (%) -58.52% 172.08% 98.62% 75.02% 55.78% 83.79% 92.4% 88.88%

Profitability

        
ROA -10.2% - - - - - - -
ROE -17.57% - 36.21% 21.78% 14.62% 16.56% 13.56% 15.2%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.33x 0.84x 0.3x 0.43x 0.52x 0.9x 0.81x 0.76x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.34x 1.35x 0.57x 1.1x 2.13x 2.82x 2.39x 2.46x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 28.74% 23.22% 21.26% 39.99% 45.02% 32.31% 31.11% 36.09%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 59.42% 48.81% 32.82% 58.99% 71.21% 56.33% 53.79% 61.62%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 104.78% 78.44% 63.5% 152.46% 294.34% 177.43% 158.55% 198.78%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.889 3.494 5.6 4.323 4.15 5.319 5.398 6.011
Change - 84.93% 60.29% -22.81% -3.99% 28.16% 1.48% 11.36%
Dividend per Share 1 0.3 0.286 0.49 0.66 0.7 0.774 0.8274 0.8709
Change - -4.67% 71.33% 34.69% 6.06% 10.57% 6.89% 5.26%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - 13.48 14.38 14.88 15.91
Change - - - - - 6.66% 3.46% 6.96%
EPS 1 -1.55 1.25 3.47 2.61 1.88 2.354 2.218 2.318
Change - 180.65% 177.6% -24.78% -27.97% 25.22% -5.79% 4.51%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 353,376 698,660 625,814 600,775 592,192 571,371 571,371 571,371
Announcement Date 2/10/21 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 10.7x 11.3x
PBR 1.74x 1.69x
EV / Sales 2.93x 2.87x
Yield 3.09% 3.3%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
25.08CAD
Average target price
30.45CAD
Spread / Average Target
+21.40%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. ARX Stock
  4. Financials ARC Resources Ltd.