Projected Income Statement: ARC Resources Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: ARC Resources Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,829 1,302 1,317 1,336 2,866 2,527 2,282 1,202
Change - -28.81% 1.15% 1.44% 114.52% -11.83% -9.7% -47.33%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ARC Resources Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,062 1,442 1,826 1,846 1,909 1,855 1,977 2,005
Change - 35.8% 26.64% 1.07% 3.42% -2.79% 6.55% 1.42%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,354 2,271 1,198 627 1,284 1,810 1,506 1,360
Change - 67.75% -47.25% -47.65% 104.74% 41.02% -16.82% -9.71%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ARC Resources Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 47.57% 64.78% 67.8% 63.23% 54.72% 57.26% 58.26% 54.94%
EBIT Margin (%) 24.31% 43.92% 37.01% 17.22% 9.71% 34.65% 33.28% 28.49%
EBT Margin (%) - - 45.06% 35.5% 26.75% 33.38% 34.16% 29.04%
Net margin (%) 17.2% 33.95% 34.97% 27.42% 20.88% 24.67% 24.65% 21.05%
FCF margin (%) 29.6% 33.48% 26.23% 15.3% 21.02% 25.25% 22.91% 19.96%
FCF / Net Income (%) 172.08% 98.62% 75.02% 55.78% 100.67% 102.34% 92.92% 94.8%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - 8.98% 9.5% 9.1% 6.5%
ROE - 36.21% 21.78% 14.62% 15.73% 19.51% 15.91% 12.43%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.84x 0.3x 0.43x 0.52x 0.86x 0.62x 0.6x 0.32x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.35x 0.57x 1.1x 2.13x 2.23x 1.4x 1.52x 0.88x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 23.22% 21.26% 39.99% 45.02% 31.25% 25.87% 30.07% 29.43%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 48.81% 32.82% 58.99% 71.21% 57.12% 45.19% 51.62% 53.57%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 78.44% 63.5% 152.46% 294.34% 148.69% 102.49% 131.28% 147.47%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.494 5.6 4.323 4.15 5.48 6.414 6.747 7.577
Change - 60.29% -22.81% -3.99% 32.05% 17.05% 5.19% 12.29%
Dividend per Share 1 0.286 0.49 0.66 0.7 0.78 0.842 0.8606 0.9167
Change - 71.33% 34.69% 6.06% 11.43% 7.95% 2.21% 6.52%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - 13.48 14.48 17.02 18.98 20.71
Change - - - - 7.44% 17.54% 11.5% 9.11%
EPS 1 1.25 3.47 2.61 1.88 2.19 3.173 2.767 2.944
Change - 177.6% -24.78% -27.97% 16.49% 44.87% -12.77% 6.36%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 698,660 625,814 600,775 592,192 572,621 566,243 566,243 566,243
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/9/23 2/8/24 2/6/25 2/5/26 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 9.75x 11.2x
PBR 1.82x 1.63x
EV / Sales 2.8x 3.01x
Yield 2.72% 2.78%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
30.94CAD
Average target price
33.11CAD
Spread / Average Target
+7.00%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. ARX Stock
  4. Financials ARC Resources Ltd.