|
Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 108.49 USD | +2.09% |
|
-4.78% | +27.99% |
| 07-07 | Huawei Unit Rejects Claims of Copying Elements From Alibaba's Qwen | MT |
| 07-07 | Huawei's AI lab denies that one of its Pangu models copied Alibaba's Qwen | RE |
Company Valuation: Alibaba Group Holding Limited
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 4,027,830 | 1,853,787 | 1,800,888 | 1,310,939 | 2,167,618 | 1,730,734 | - | - |
| Change | - | -53.98% | -2.85% | -27.21% | 65.35% | -20.16% | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 3,845,890 | 1,805,233 | 1,769,156 | 1,233,590 | 2,217,000 | 1,410,827 | 1,328,731 | 1,236,987 |
| Change | - | -53.06% | -2% | -30.27% | 79.72% | -36.36% | -5.82% | -6.9% |
| P/E ratio | 27.2x | 30.3x | 25.6x | 16.7x | 17.9x | 12.7x | 11.1x | 9.6x |
| PBR | 4.35x | 1.98x | 1.87x | 1.35x | 2.29x | 1.58x | 1.4x | 1.21x |
| PEG | - | -0.5x | 1.2x | 1.2x | 0.3x | 1.1x | 0.7x | 0.6x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 5.62x | 2.17x | 2.07x | 1.39x | 2.18x | 1.62x | 1.51x | 1.4x |
| EV / Revenue | 5.36x | 2.12x | 2.04x | 1.31x | 2.23x | 1.32x | 1.16x | 1x |
| EV / EBITDA | 19.5x | 11.4x | 10.1x | 6.44x | 11x | 6.25x | 5.23x | 4.18x |
| EV / EBIT | 42.9x | 25.9x | 17.6x | 10.9x | 15.7x | 8.55x | 7.16x | 5.87x |
| EV / FCF | 20x | 18.3x | 10.3x | 7.9x | 30x | 9.34x | 8.65x | 7.29x |
| FCF Yield | 5% | 5.48% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 3.33% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 13.7% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | - | 12.02 | 14.34 | 9.777 | 8.776 | 10.06 |
| Rate of return | - | - | - | 2.3% | 1.49% | 1.28% | 1.15% | 1.32% |
| EPS 2 | 54.7 | 22.74 | 27.46 | 31.24 | 53.59 | 59.93 | 68.96 | 79.4 |
| Distribution rate | - | - | - | 38.5% | 26.8% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 12.7% |
| Net sales 1 | 717,289 | 853,062 | 868,687 | 941,168 | 996,347 | 1,066,269 | 1,146,419 | 1,238,930 |
| EBITDA 1 | 196,842 | 158,205 | 175,710 | 191,668 | 202,325 | 225,905 | 254,220 | 295,905 |
| EBIT 1 | 89,678 | 69,638 | 100,351 | 113,350 | 140,905 | 165,090 | 185,618 | 210,673 |
| Net income 1 | 150,308 | 61,959 | 72,509 | 79,741 | 129,470 | 142,669 | 161,947 | 184,793 |
| Net Debt 1 | -181,940 | -48,554 | -31,732 | -77,349 | 49,382 | -319,907 | -402,003 | -493,747 |
| Reference price 2 | 1,485.67 | 689.78 | 701.89 | 522.95 | 959.53 | 762.37 | 762.37 | 762.37 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 2,711,119 | 2,687,500 | 2,565,752 | 2,506,837 | 2,259,048 | 2,270,201 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 5/13/21 | 5/26/22 | 5/18/23 | 5/14/24 | 5/15/25 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates
P/E ratio, Detailed evolution
| P/E (Y) | EV / Sales (Y) | EV / EBITDA (Y) | Dividend Yield (Y) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.72x | 1.32x | 6.25x | 1.28% | 241B | ||
| 332.63x | 13.28x | 77.51x | -.--% | 151B | ||
| 13.56x | 1.77x | 8.07x | -.--% | 149B | ||
| 50.4x | 4.48x | 28.04x | -.--% | 127B | ||
| 19.92x | 1.28x | 9.95x | -.--% | 92.55B | ||
| 31.52x | 9.3x | 22.8x | - | 47.22B | ||
| 19x | 3.71x | 12.01x | 1.51% | 34.98B | ||
| 7.49x | 0.27x | 2.82x | 3.04% | 7.7B | ||
| 115.26x | 5.34x | 26.82x | -.--% | 5.63B | ||
| 19.28x | 5.75x | 10.31x | 3.07% | 5.12B | ||
| Average | 62.18x | 4.65x | 20.46x | 0.99% | 86.2B | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 77.30x | 4.54x | 23.95x | 0.49% |
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
- Stock Market
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- BABA Stock
- Valuation Alibaba Group Holding Limited
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