CAC40: slight rebound ahead of Fed decision
'In September, the Fed cut its key rates by 50 basis points, while hinting that further cuts would be made at a more moderate pace', recalled Oddo BHF at the start of the week, deeming a 25 bp cut this Thursday almost certain.
The political situation is not without consequences afterwards", he stressed, pointing to a greater risk of inflationary tensions in the event - since confirmed - of Donald Trump's victory in the presidential election.
"He has often criticized Jerome Powell and does not look favorably on the Fed's independence. Yet it is this independence that helps anchor inflation expectations at a low level", noted the research firm.
The Bank of England is also expected to announce a 25 bp rate cut today, the second this year after the one at the beginning of August, against the backdrop of British inflation falling below the 2% mark in September.
In terms of statistics, German industrial production and eurozone retail sales for September were published on Thursday. The first estimate of US productivity for the third quarter will be released later today.
In September 2024, compared with the previous month, the volume of seasonally-adjusted retail sales rose by 0.5% in the eurozone and by 0.3% in the EU, according to Eurostat, following increases of 1.1% and 0.9% respectively in August.
On the Paris quarterly publication front, investors can look forward to Engie, Legrand, Veolia, Valneva and SES this morning, as well as Teleperformance and Bénéteau on Wednesday evening.
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